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Last updated: 2026-07-02

LS100 READING GUIDE

A Navigational Guide to Statistical Methods

Souvik Mandal, Ph.D., Linkedin ID: souvik-mandal-phd

Project Leader & Instructor, Computational Behavioral Sciences, LS100, FAS, Harvard University


Behavioral data are often messy, count-heavy, zero-inflated, or tightly clustered within individuals, and rarely arrive in a clean, normally distributed package. Choosing the correct statistical tool requires diagnosing both the nature of your research question and the structural features of your data. This guide is a diagnostic map: instead of detailing the underlying mathematics, it tells you — given (a) your research question and (b) your data’s features — (c) which statistical test family is appropriate. Within each objective, tests are ordered from the most general/basic to the most case-specific/advanced tests. Use it together with the one-page decision-tree poster that accompanies this guide.

Test-selection decision tree — the one-page map that accompanies this guide

Step 0: Characterize Your Question and Your Data

Before opening any test, answer the following five questions. Your answers point directly to a section below (and to a branch of the decision-tree poster).

  1. What is the goal? compare a sample to a baseline (§1), compare groups (§2–§3), measure an association (§4), build a predictive model (§5), handle nested/longitudinal/time data (§6), analyze angles/directions (§7), or quantify rater agreement (§8).

  2. What type is the/ outcome (dependent) variable? continuous, ordinal, nominal/binary, a count, a proportion, a time-to-event, or a circular angle.

  3. What is the predictor / grouping structure? none (one sample), one grouping with two vs. three-or-more groups, one or more continuous predictors, or several factors at once.

  4. Are observations independent or related? independent groups or paired/repeated/nested (the same individuals measured more than once).

  5. Is the outcome roughly normal, or skewed/ordinal? this decides parametric vs. non-parametric — confirm it with the diagnostics in §9.

Please refer to Table 01 for a quick glance of the appropriate statistical test for a given research question and features of the data.

Table 01: Quick-Reference for Appropriate Statistical Test

A fast lookup for the most common situations. Find your row, then read the detailed entry in the section indicated.

Your question / goalOutcome typeDesignGo-to test(s) (§section)
Compare one mean to a fixed valueContinuousOne sampleOne-sample t test, Wilcoxon if skewed (§1)
Compare one proportion to a valueBinaryOne sampleBinomial / exact test (§1)
Category counts vs. expectedNominalOne sampleChi-square goodness-of-fit (§1)
Compare two group meansContinuous2 independentWelch’s / Student’s t-test, Mann-Whitney if skewed (§2)
Compare two paired meansContinuousPairedPaired t-test, Wilcoxon signed-rank if skewed (§2)
Compare two proportionsBinary2 independentTwo-proportion z test, chi-square (§2)
Compare paired proportionsBinaryPairedMcNemar’s test (§2, §4)
Compare 3+ group meansContinuous3+ independentOne-way ANOVA + post-hoc test, Kruskal-Wallis if skewed (§3)
Compare 3+ repeated conditionsContinuousRepeatedRepeated-measures ANOVA test, Friedman if skewed (§3)
Two factors + their interactionContinuousFactorialTwo-way ANOVA (§3)
Group means controlling a covariateContinuous+ covariateANCOVA (§3)
Several correlated outcomes at once2+ continuousGroupsMANOVA (§3)
Association of two continuous varsContinuousPearson test, Spearman/Kendall if non-linear (§4)
Association of two categorical varsCategoricalChi-square test, Fisher’s exact if small n (§4)
Predict a continuous outcomeContinuousPredictorsLinear regression (§5)
Predict a binary / categorical outcomeBinary/nominalPredictorsLogistic regression family (§5)
Predict a countCountPredictorsPoisson test, negative binomial if over-dispersed (§5)
Nested / repeated / clustered dataAnyClusteredMixed-effects model (LMM/GLMM) (§6)
Time-until-a-behaviorDuration + censoringKaplan-Meier / log-rank / Cox (§6)
Similarity of two movement sequencesSequencesCross-correlation, Dynamic Time Warping (§6)
Preferred direction / angleCircularRayleigh test, Watson-Williams to compare (§7)
Agreement between coders / ratersCategorical or continuousRatersCohen’s/Fleiss’ kappa test, ICC (§8)

Single-Sample Diagnostics: Comparing a Group to a Baseline

Use these when you have a single sample and want to know if it differs from a known baseline, a theoretical constant, or a chance probability.

  1. One-Sample t-test

  1. One-Sample Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test

  1. Binomial / Exact Test

  1. Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test

Comparing Two Groups

These assess differences between exactly two groups, conditions, or time points.

  1. Independent (unrelated) groups

    1. Independent-samples t-test

  1. Welch’s t-test

  1. Mann-Whitney U Test

  1. Two-Sample Z-test for Proportions

  1. Paired / related measurements

    1. Paired-Samples t-test

Sign Test

Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test (Paired)

3. Comparing Three or More Groups: Factorial & Multi-Variable Designs

When your design expands beyond two groups or includes multiple intersecting factors.

  1. Independent groups

    1. One-Way ANOVA

Welch’s ANOVA

Kruskal-Wallis Test

Post-hoc Pairwise Comparisons

  1. Multiple factors and covariates

    1. Two-Way Factorial ANOVA

ANCOVA

MANOVA

  1. Repeated measures (same subjects)

    1. Repeated-Measures ANOVA

Friedman Test

Cochran’s Q Test

Mixed-Design ANOVA

4. Associations, Relationships & Contingencies

These assess how variables change together, whether continuous scales or categorical labels.

Pearson Correlation

Spearman’s Rank Correlation

Kendall’s Tau

Point-Biserial Correlation

Partial Correlation

Chi-Square Test of Independence

Fisher’s Exact Test

McNemar’s Test

5. Explanatory Modeling & Prediction: The Regression Family

When the goal shifts from testing differences to building predictive equations or isolating the contribution of multiple predictors. Most of these belong to the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) family, which differ mainly in the assumed distribution of the outcome.

Simple Linear Regression

Multiple Linear Regression

Binary Logistic Regression

Ordinal Logistic Regression

Multinomial Logistic Regression

Poisson Regression

Negative Binomial Regression

Zero-Inflated Models (ZIP / ZINB)

Beta Regression

6. Advanced: Clustered, Longitudinal, Survival & Time-Series Frameworks

For data that violate the assumption of independent observations, track hidden constructs, or unfold over time.

Linear / Generalized Mixed-Effects Models (LMM / GLMM)

  1. Time-to-event (survival)

    1. Kaplan-Meier Estimator & Log-Rank Test

Cox Proportional-Hazards Model

  1. Sequential & time-series data

    1. Cross-Correlation Function

Dynamic Time Warping (DTW)

ARIMA

  1. Latent structure & unsupervised discovery

    1. Latent Growth Curve Modeling

Latent Structure Discovery (PCA → EFA → CFA → SEM)

Unsupervised Pattern Discovery (Clustering & Dimensionality Reduction)

7. Directional & Circular Data

Angles and directions — joint angles, movement heading, time of day — live on a circle, where 0° and 360° are identical. Ordinary linear statistics mishandle this wrap-around (the mean of 350° and 10° is 0°, not 180°), so circular-specific methods are required. These are directly relevant to pose and movement analysis.

Rayleigh Test

V-Test

Watson-Williams Test

Watson’s U² Test

Circular Correlation

8. Measurement Reliability & Agreement

When several coders annotate behavior, or a measure is repeated, you must quantify how consistent those measurements are before trusting them — a routine step whenever a team builds an annotation schema.

Cohen’s Kappa

Fleiss’ Kappa

Krippendorff’s Alpha

Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC)

Bland-Altman Analysis

9. Before You Test: Diagnostics, Robust & Resampling Methods

Choosing between parametric and non-parametric tests — and trusting any result — depends on first checking assumptions. These tools are how you decide.

Normality Checks

Homogeneity-of-Variance Checks

Permutation (Randomization) Tests

Bootstrap

Always report an effect size (Cohen’s d, η², r, odds ratio) alongside every p-value, and correct for multiple comparisons (Bonferroni, Holm, or FDR) whenever you run many tests.